Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.909693 5.307284 5.738622 6.244369 6.825059 7.475800 8.267164
2025-08-03 4.287168 4.828521 5.457143 6.252784 7.250719 8.486728 10.177441
2025-08-10 3.839075 4.435044 5.157490 6.119369 7.402469 9.113934 11.685423
2025-08-17 3.495502 4.110964 4.880317 5.943602 7.430420 9.534870 12.959591
2025-08-24 3.257200 3.887966 4.697058 5.851762 7.535327 10.052224 14.478872
2025-08-31 3.116748 3.774140 4.638945 5.913470 7.853445 10.928359 16.832883
2025-09-07 2.982837 3.655513 4.559438 5.928945 8.094259 11.715455 19.288715
2025-09-14 2.794554 3.449495 4.340979 5.714758 7.939229 11.790453 20.324421
2025-09-21 2.653014 3.298489 4.188553 5.584103 7.900367 12.060676 21.888334
2025-09-28 2.544265 3.186213 4.083045 5.514249 7.951313 12.502964 24.047087
2025-10-05 2.464276 3.109486 4.023367 5.509507 8.111506 13.187754 27.183719
2025-10-12 2.425523 3.088707 4.043900 5.633751 8.516623 14.469301 32.903631
2025-10-19 2.384267 3.064449 4.061014 5.760229 8.958355 15.989514 41.030204
2025-10-26 2.315861 2.997122 4.008123 5.763829 9.165220 17.030843 48.705585
2025-11-02 2.225666 2.893041 3.891558 5.646197 9.110529 17.399024 53.875998
2025-11-09 2.134000 2.782904 3.759691 5.491388 8.959757 17.478606 57.778819
2025-11-16 2.064510 2.703399 3.672578 5.410381 8.956245 17.973130 65.175246
2025-11-23 2.027854 2.672024 3.660773 5.464819 9.254089 19.442771 83.204729
2025-11-30 1.985379 2.629763 3.628673 5.478463 9.462535 20.724152 105.128367
2025-12-07 1.906211 2.527984 3.494082 5.289371 9.179237 20.309004 107.767555
2025-12-14 1.845322 2.452785 3.400722 5.173775 9.058749 20.433678 118.635561
2025-12-21 1.798011 2.397150 3.337512 5.111893 9.059423 20.991920 139.570117
2025-12-28 1.763835 2.360922 3.305184 5.107691 9.200204 22.123037 181.655047